Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Fluxo W7M and largadosypelados in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Fluxo W7M, a prominent Brazilian Counter-Strike organisation, faces largadosypelados in Round 4 of the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, a best-of-three match scheduled for 1 May at 22:30 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at YES, reflecting the 0% implied probability. This pricing suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful market, with no meaningful bids or offers currently visible on the book.
Fluxo W7M operates as a professional esports entity with established roster depth and tournament experience in Brazilian regional competition. largadosypelados represents a lower-tier competitor in the same ecosystem. Historical matchups between established organisations and emerging teams in regional Brazilian Counter-Strike typically favour the former, though upsets remain possible in best-of-three formats where map selection and tactical preparation create variance. The 0% probability on Polymarket's order book likely reflects this structural advantage rather than genuine certainty.
Traders should monitor official Odyssey Cup scheduling announcements for any postponements or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if delayed beyond 7 May. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions announced closer to match day could alter competitive balance. The settlement window closes 2 May at 01:30 UTC, providing minimal buffer beyond the scheduled match time, so any technical delays in determining a winner could activate alternative resolution conditions. Liquidity may increase as match day approaches if traders identify value in the current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/kabrafps. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/kabrafps. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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