Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FORZE Reload and eternal premium in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win the match against eternal premium. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against FORZE Reload. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
FORZE Reload and eternal premium are scheduled to compete in Round 4 of the Exort Series Main Stage Counter-Strike tournament on 13 May at 8:30 AM ET. The match will be played as a best-of-three series. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 implied probability, indicating traders perceive this as an even matchup with neither side commanding clear favourability at present pricing.
Both teams operate within the competitive Counter-Strike ecosystem where roster stability and recent tournament performance heavily influence match outcomes. FORZE Reload has competed in various regional and international events, whilst eternal premium represents another contender in the same circuit. Historical precedent from similar tier-two Counter-Strike matchups suggests that when teams are evenly matched in terms of recent results and ranking, markets typically settle near 50-50 until fresh information emerges. The current probability reflects this equilibrium rather than conviction in either direction.
Traders should monitor several developments before settlement on 13 May. Roster changes or player substitutions announced by either organisation could shift perceived strength materially. Recent scrim results or head-to-head records between these specific squads, if publicised, would provide concrete data to move the probability. Additionally, the tournament's official schedule confirmation and any format changes would affect match conditions. The seven-day delay clause in the resolution criteria means matches postponed beyond 20 May would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a distinct risk factor for positions held through that window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $927 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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