Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Eternal Fire Academy and eternal premium in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire Academy" if Eternal Fire Academy win the match against eternal premium. This market will resolve to "eternal premium" if eternal premium win the match against Eternal Fire Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire Academy (+1.5) | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Eternal Fire Academy face eternal premium in a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter scheduled for 11 May at 16:30 BST as part of the Exort Series Main Stage. The current order book on Polymarket prices Eternal Fire Academy at 33 per cent implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for eternal premium despite Academy's organisational affiliation with the established Eternal Fire organisation.
Academy teams within established orgs typically carry structural advantages—better funding, coaching infrastructure, and access to scrim partners—yet academy squads frequently underperform against independent rosters with proven competitive records. The 33 per cent probability suggests the market is pricing eternal premium as the favoured side, likely based on recent form data or head-to-head records. Without publicly available recent match results between these specific rosters, traders should examine both teams' performances in preceding Exort Series rounds and their respective player roster stability.
Key variables affecting settlement include fixture confirmation closer to the scheduled date, as minor league Counter-Strike tournaments occasionally experience reschedules. The settlement window extends to 11 May at 21:30 UTC, providing a seven-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Traders should monitor official Exort Series communications for any roster changes, stand-in announcements, or venue updates that could shift competitive balance. The 50-50 tie resolution clause applies only if the match remains unplayed beyond seven days, a low-probability scenario for a scheduled main stage fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2 in lifetime turnover and $821 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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