Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Donstu Esports and FORZE Reload in the Exort Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Donstu Esports" if Donstu Esports win the match against FORZE Reload. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win the match against Donstu Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Donstu Esports and FORZE Reload are scheduled to contest a Counter-Strike best-of-three match in the Exort Series Playoffs on 15 May at 05:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will advance from this opening round fixture. The settlement window closes at 15:30 UTC on the scheduled date, with resolution contingent on a decisive outcome; matches abandoned, delayed beyond seven days, or ending in ties trigger a 50-50 split resolution.
Both squads operate within the competitive Russian Counter-Strike ecosystem, though direct head-to-head records between these specific rosters remain sparse in recent months. FORZE Reload represents a reconstituted lineup following roster changes, whilst Donstu Esports has maintained relative stability. Historical precedent suggests evenly matched regional competitors typically trade near parity on Polymarket until substantive form data or roster announcements shift the implied probability materially.
Traders should monitor official Exort Series communications for any last-minute schedule changes, player availability disclosures, or technical issues that could trigger the seven-day delay clause. Recent fixture delays in regional Counter-Strike tournaments have occasionally extended beyond initial windows. Roster confirmations closer to match time and any public practice or scrim results may prompt order book movement. The 05:30 ET start time places the match outside peak Western trading hours, potentially limiting liquidity depth on the book during the settlement window itself.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $617 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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