Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and Aurora Young Blood in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Prospects" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against Aurora Young Blood. This market will resolve to "Aurora Young Blood" if Aurora Young Blood win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Prospects face Aurora Young Blood in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, scheduled for 10 May at 10:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for CYBERSHOKE Prospects, suggesting the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin, allowing even modest backing to push prices to extremes.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a secondary-tier competitive circuit where roster stability and recent form diverge considerably from top-flight play. Historical precedent in lower-tier Counter-Strike tournaments shows that matches between prospect squads and young blood lineups frequently produce upsets when the underdog team has recently secured roster changes or when the favoured side faces motivation issues in non-playoff fixtures. A 100% probability in such contexts often reflects incomplete market information rather than genuine certainty, particularly in regional competitions where team composition and player availability shift rapidly.
Traders should monitor roster announcements from both organisations through to the settlement window closing on 10 May at 20:15 UTC. Recent ESEA Advanced Europe fixtures have occasionally faced delays or cancellations due to player availability conflicts, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Additionally, any last-minute stand-in players or confirmed absences from either squad could materially shift competitive balance. Current liquidity constraints appear to be driving the extreme probability; meaningful backing of Aurora Young Blood would likely compress the odds considerably.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seas" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$210 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: