Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between BESTIA Academy and HereWeGoAgain in the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy win the match against HereWeGoAgain. This market will resolve to "HereWeGoAgain" if HereWeGoAgain win the match against BESTIA Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 56% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs HereWeGoAgain (+1.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
BESTIA Academy will face HereWeGoAgain in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage, scheduled for 12 May at 3:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 54% implied probability for BESTIA Academy's victory, suggesting marginal favouritism amongst traders. This probability has formed through the aggregation of bids and asks across the platform's liquidity pool, with the spread between buy and sell orders indicating moderate confidence in the outcome.
BESTIA Academy operates as the academy roster for one of South America's established organisations, typically fielding younger or developing talent within the regional competitive structure. HereWeGoAgain represents a separate competitive entity within the CCT ecosystem. Historical precedent in South American Counter-Strike group stages shows that academy rosters often perform unpredictably against established squads, with results frequently hinging on individual player form and map pool preparation rather than organisational pedigree alone. The 54% probability suggests traders view BESTIA Academy as slight favourites, though the proximity to even odds reflects genuine uncertainty about relative team strength.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through official CCT announcements prior to the 12 May fixture. Scheduling delays remain a material risk given the settlement window extends to 13 May at 01:00 UTC, creating a narrow window for match completion. Map pool selections, typically announced shortly before group stage matches, will provide concrete information about preparation depth and strategic matchups that could shift current probability assessments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9K in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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