Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between 3DMAX Academy and Ctrl Alt Defeat in the Exort Series Contenders Stage, initially scheduled for May 1 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX Academy" if 3DMAX Academy win the match against Ctrl Alt Defeat. This market will resolve to "Ctrl Alt Defeat" if Ctrl Alt Defeat win the match against 3DMAX Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX.A (-1.5) vs Ctrl Alt Defeat (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
The Exort Series Contenders Stage features a best-of-three Counter-Strike match between 3DMAX Academy and Ctrl Alt Defeat, scheduled for 1 May at 2:30PM ET. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 implied probability, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which academy-level roster will advance. This even split suggests neither team commands a clear informational advantage in the market's view, with both squads treated as competitive at this tier of play.
Academy rosters in competitive Counter-Strike typically operate with less consistent performance data than established professional lineups, making historical precedent less reliable for probability assessment. The Exort Series Contenders Stage serves as a development pathway, and results often hinge on recent roster changes, individual player form, and map pool preparation rather than established track records. Previous academy-level tournaments have shown volatile outcomes when teams lack extensive LAN experience or when roster stability is in flux.
Traders should monitor official Exort Series announcements regarding any schedule adjustments or roster confirmations in the days preceding 1 May. The settlement window extends to 2 May at 00:30 UTC, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome. Fixture cancellations remain a material risk given the lower-tier status of academy competition, where organisational resources and commitment levels differ markedly from professional circuits.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Ctrl Alt Defeat (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: