Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Call of Duty match between G2 Minnesota and Boston Breach in the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers, initially scheduled for May 9 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Minnesota" if G2 Minnesota win the match against Boston Breach. This market will resolve to "Boston Breach" if Boston Breach win the match against G2 Minnesota. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: MIN (-1.5) vs Boston Breach (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: MIN (-2.5) vs Boston Breach (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
G2 Minnesota face Boston Breach in a best-of-five match within the Call of Duty League's Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers bracket, scheduled for 9 May at 6:00PM ET. The winner advances through the qualifying rounds toward the stage major tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for G2 Minnesota, indicating either substantial backing for Boston Breach or minimal liquidity in the market at present, with the settlement window closing 10 May at 04:25 UTC.
Historical CDL matchups between these franchises and their respective roster compositions provide context for evaluating the probability formation. G2 Minnesota and Boston Breach have competed across multiple seasons with varying competitive trajectories; recent stage results and player performance metrics typically influence market pricing in esports prediction markets. The 0% reading suggests traders currently assess Boston Breach as heavily favoured or that the market lacks sufficient depth to establish balanced odds.
Traders should monitor official CDL schedule confirmations and any roster announcements prior to match day, as substitutions or scheduling changes can materially affect outcomes. Recent performance data from Stage 2 competition, map pool selections for this qualifier, and any player availability issues would serve as key catalysts. The resolution criteria specify that matches delayed beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 split, creating a secondary consideration for traders assessing tail risks around scheduling disruptions.
Call of Duty (CoD) is a first-person shooter military video game series and media franchise published by Activision, starting in 2003. The games were first developed by Infinity Ward, then by Treyarch and Sledgehammer Games. Several spin-off and handheld games were made by other developers. The most recent, Call of Duty: Black Ops 7, was released on November
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 is a 2009 first-person shooter game developed by Infinity Ward and published by Activision. It is the sixth installment in the Call of Duty series and the direct sequel to Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare. It was released worldwide on November 10, 2009, for Windows, PlayStation 3, and Xbox 360. A separate version for the Nintendo
Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare is a 2007 first-person shooter game developed by Infinity Ward and published by Activision. It is the fourth main installment in the Call of Duty series. The game breaks away from the World War II setting of previous entries and is instead set in modern times. Developed over two years, Modern Warfare was released in November 20
Call of Duty: Black Ops II is a 2012 first-person shooter game developed by Treyarch and published by Activision. It was released for Windows, PlayStation 3, and Xbox 360 on November 13, 2012, and for the Wii U on November 18 in North America and November 30 in PAL regions. Black Ops II is the ninth game in the Call of Duty franchise of video games, a sequel
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Call of Duty: G2 Minnesota vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qua" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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