Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Call of Duty match between Cloud9 New York and Boston Breach in the Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier, initially scheduled for May 31 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9 New York" if Cloud9 New York win the match against Boston Breach. This market will resolve to "Boston Breach" if Boston Breach win the match against Cloud9 New York. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Real-money prediction markets aggregate live odds from thousands of traders, surfacing a sharper probability than any single forecast. Current odds favour the YES side at 50%, making this a coinflip market with 4 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $7K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: BOS (-1.5) vs Cloud9 New York (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: BOS (-2.5) vs Cloud9 New York (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 24% YES | 76% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 47% YES | 54% NO |
Cloud9 New York and Boston Breach are scheduled to compete in a best-of-five Call of Duty match on 31 May at 6:00 PM ET as part of the CDL Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier. The winner advances through the qualification bracket; the loser's path to the major becomes significantly more difficult. Both franchises are competing in the 2024 Call of Duty League season, where qualification tournaments determine seeding and access to major events. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a near-even split at 51% for Cloud9 New York, suggesting traders view this as a competitive matchup with marginal edge to the New York side.
Historically, Cloud9 New York and Boston Breach have traded wins across recent CDL seasons, though franchise rosters and coaching staff have undergone changes that affect direct historical comparisons. Cloud9 New York has shown variable performance in 2024, whilst Boston Breach has experienced roster adjustments mid-season. The 51% probability indicates the market perceives this as genuinely uncertain rather than heavily favoured to either side, consistent with how evenly matched teams typically trade when form and recent results are mixed.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes announced before the 31 May fixture. CDL matches occasionally experience technical delays or scheduling adjustments; the settlement window extends to 2 June at 04:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer. Recent tournament results from both teams in April and May will provide the most relevant form data, as individual player performance in qualifying events often predicts playoff-style competition outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 1 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Withdrawal pace from your PolyGram balance is non-custodial and immediate — once payout clears, funds are yours to send to any Polygon wallet you control. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Q", order-book behaviour for this market reflects the underlying volatility of the outcome — patient limit orders typically fill closer to mid than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($7K of resting liquidity), a $100 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers " are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $23 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/CallofDuty. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Call of Duty: Cloud9 New York vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Q", the considerations above apply directly — Trade size should reflect the binary nature of the payoff: even a 70% probability event resolves NO 30% of the time, so any single position can lose 100% of staked capital.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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