Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yeet officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Yeet will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Yeet (https://x.com/yeet), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| June 30, 2026 | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| December 31, 2026 | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| June 30, 2027 | 69% YES | 31% NO |
| December 31, 2027 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| September 30, 2026 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| March 31, 2027 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| September 30, 2027 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Yeet, a social platform built on Solana that enables users to create and trade prediction markets, faces the question of whether it will issue its own native token before the end of 2027. The 5% implied probability on Polymarket reflects substantial scepticism amongst traders, with the order book currently pricing token launch as a low-probability event despite Yeet's growth trajectory and the precedent set by comparable platforms.
The low probability reflects several structural factors. Most Solana-native applications that have launched tokens did so within 18–24 months of achieving meaningful user traction; Yeet's timeline relative to its growth stage suggests a narrowing window. Comparable platforms like Magic Eden and Phantom Wallet launched tokens years after establishing market presence, whilst others including dYdX and Uniswap tokenised governance after reaching significant scale. The distinction matters: Yeet's current positioning as a prediction market protocol rather than a core infrastructure layer may delay tokenomics necessity, and regulatory uncertainty around prediction markets in key jurisdictions could suppress token launch incentives.
Traders monitoring this market should track Yeet's official communications regarding governance plans and funding rounds, which typically precede token announcements. Recent activity in the Solana ecosystem shows accelerating token launches amongst maturing protocols, though Yeet has not publicly signalled imminent tokenisation. The settlement window extends through 2027, providing ample time for catalysts, but the current probability reflects market consensus that structural or strategic factors will likely prevent launch within this timeframe.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Yeet launch a token by 2028?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $505 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2028. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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