Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperbeat officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Hyperbeat will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| June 30, 2026 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| June 30, 2027 | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| December 31, 2027 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| September 30, 2026 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| December 31, 2026 | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| March 31, 2027 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| September 30, 2027 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Hyperbeat, a blockchain analytics and market intelligence platform, may or may not issue its own native token before the end of 2027. The market is currently pricing this event at 36% probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting meaningful uncertainty amongst traders about both the company's strategic intentions and execution timeline. This probability sits between outright scepticism and genuine expectation, suggesting the crowd sees material barriers to launch but acknowledges plausible paths forward.
The 36% implied probability can be contextualised against comparable cases in the analytics and infrastructure space. Glassnode, a similarly positioned on-chain analytics firm, has operated for years without launching a token, whilst others like The Graph tokenised early in their lifecycle. Chainalysis, another major player in blockchain intelligence, has remained private and token-free. These precedents suggest that analytics platforms face genuine strategic choices about tokenisation, and that many succeed without one. The absence of a clear precedent within Hyperbeat's immediate peer group leaves room for either outcome.
Traders should monitor Hyperbeat's official communications channels, particularly their X account, for any announcements regarding tokenomics, governance structures, or fundraising rounds that might signal token intent. Recent industry trends show increased pressure on infrastructure platforms to tokenise for community alignment and liquidity, though regulatory uncertainty around utility tokens persists. Any major product launches, partnership announcements, or funding news could shift expectations materially. The settlement window extends to January 2028, giving the market roughly twelve months to resolve based on actual execution rather than speculation.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Will Hyperbeat launch a token by 2028?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2028. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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