Trade: What price will XRP hit on June 2?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: What price will XRP hit on June 2?
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $187K
- Total Volume
- $2K
- 24h Volume
- $2K
- Open Interest
- $2K
Market outcomes
| ↑ 1.50 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 1.45 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| ↑ 1.40 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 1.35 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| ↑ 1.30 | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| ↓ 1.25 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 1.20 | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| ↓ 1.15 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
XRP's price movement on a specific date depends on broader cryptocurrency market conditions, regulatory developments, and sentiment shifts across the sector. The current 1% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects a market consensus that XRP is unlikely to reach the settlement price threshold by June 2, 2026. This probability is formed through active trading on the platform, where buyers and sellers continuously adjust positions based on their expectations of XRP's trajectory over the next eighteen months.
Historical precedent suggests that single-day price targets for cryptocurrencies are difficult to predict with precision. Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced significant intraday volatility, with moves of 10–20% occurring within hours during periods of regulatory clarity or market stress. XRP specifically has shown sensitivity to legal developments, particularly regarding its classification as a security—a question that shaped its price action throughout 2023 and 2024. The current low probability may reflect scepticism about the magnitude of move required rather than fundamental doubts about XRP's viability.
Traders monitoring this market should track regulatory announcements from the SEC and other jurisdictions, as well as broader macroeconomic signals affecting risk appetite in digital assets. Any major settlement or clarification of XRP's regulatory status could shift sentiment sharply. Additionally, developments in the broader cryptocurrency market—particularly Bitcoin's price action, which often anchors altcoin movements—will influence XRP's trajectory. The settlement window extends into early June 2026, meaning traders have substantial time to reassess positions as new information emerges.
Wikipedia Context
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Price revolution
The Price Revolution, sometimes known as the Spanish Price Revolution, was a series of economic events that occurred between the second half of the 16th century and the first half of the 17th century, and most specifically linked to the high rate of inflation that occurred during this period across Western Europe. Prices rose on average roughly sixfold over
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Rick PriceRick Allan Price is an Australian singer, songwriter, multi-instrumentalist and record producer and executive founding his own label "Clarice Records".
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Peerless Price
Peerless LeCross Price is an American former professional football player who was a wide receiver for nine seasons in the National Football League (NFL).
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "What price will XRP hit on June 2?" are the same as any other PolyGram crypto-price event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$2K in lifetime turnover and $187K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for crypto contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "What price will XRP hit on June 2?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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