Trade: IPL: Orange Cap Winner
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher strike rate during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $2K
- Total Volume
- $399
- 24h Volume
- $232
- Open Interest
- $301
Market outcomes
| Vaibhav Sooryavanshi | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| K L Rahul | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Heinrich Klaasen | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Shubman Gill | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Ishan Kishan | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Yashasvi Jaiswal | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Player A | — | |
| Player C | — | |
Market context
The 2026 Indian Premier League season will determine which player accumulates the most runs across the tournament's group and knockout stages. The Orange Cap, awarded to the leading run-scorer, represents one of cricket's most closely watched individual honours. Settlement occurs on 1 June 2026, with tie-breaking provisions favouring strike rate and alphabetical ordering of surnames should multiple players finish level on runs.
Historical Orange Cap races demonstrate significant variance in prediction difficulty. Established batsmen like Virat Kohli and Suresh Raina have dominated multiple seasons, yet unexpected performers—including overseas players with limited prior IPL exposure—have claimed the award in recent years. The 2025 season saw competitive run-scoring across several franchises, with no single player establishing early dominance. Current Polymarket order book pricing reflects 15% implied probability, suggesting traders assess this outcome as unlikely relative to alternative run-scoring leaders, though the distributed nature of IPL batting means concentration risk remains material.
Traders should monitor franchise squad announcements and auction outcomes scheduled for late 2025, which will clarify available talent pools and playing combinations. Injury updates during the tournament itself—particularly affecting marquee batsmen—will create pricing adjustments. The IPL's scheduling density, typically spanning March to May, concentrates matches heavily, meaning form fluctuations and fixture congestion become critical variables. Recent tournament formats have occasionally extended into early June, affecting settlement window certainty.
Wikipedia Context
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If Orange Was a PlaceIf Orange Was a Place is the second extended play by Nigerian singer, songwriter and producer Tems. It was produced primarily by GuiltyBeatz, along with production from Jonah Christian, and was released on 15 September 2021 by Since '93 and RCA. It features a single guest appearance from American singer Brent Faiyaz.
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SubnetA subnet, or subnetwork, is a logical subdivision of an IP network. The practice of dividing a network into two or more networks is called subnetting.
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In OrangeIn Orange is a 2004 Dutch family drama film directed by Joram Lürsen and written by Frank Ketelaar and starring Yannick van de Velde, Wendy van Dijk, Thomas Acda and Peter Blok. In Orange received a Golden Film after it had sold 100,000 cinema tickets in the Netherlands. The film also received international awards at film festivals in Hamburg, Isfahan, Krist
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IND Sixth Avenue Line
The IND Sixth Avenue Line is a rapid transit line of the B Division of the New York City Subway in the United States. It runs mainly under Sixth Avenue in Manhattan, and continues south to Brooklyn. The B, D, F, and M trains, which use the Sixth Avenue Line through Midtown Manhattan, are colored orange. The B and D trains use the express tracks, while the F,
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "IPL: Orange Cap Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$399 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $232 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "IPL: Orange Cap Winner"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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