Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Shohei Ohtani | 40% YES | 60% NO |
| Kyle Schwarber | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Yordan Alvarez | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| George Springer | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Brent Rooker | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Yandy Diaz | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Christian Yelich | 5% YES | 95% NO |
The Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award is presented annually to the MLB player judged to have excelled most at the designated hitter role during the regular season. The award considers offensive performance, consistency, and overall contribution to their team's success. The 2026 recipient will be determined by voting conducted after the season concludes, with the winner announced typically in November. Polymarket's current order book reflects a 5% implied probability for this market resolving YES, indicating traders assess meaningful uncertainty about which player will ultimately win.
Historical voting patterns for the award show concentration among a small cohort of elite designated hitters, typically those on playoff-contending teams with high offensive output. Past winners have included players with 150+ games played and batting averages above .280, though voting occasionally rewards strong partial-season performances. The low current probability reflects the diffuse field of potential candidates across 30 MLB teams, with no single player yet having established a dominant statistical case two years in advance.
Key catalysts shaping trader positioning include the 2026 regular season performance metrics—batting average, home runs, RBIs, and games played—which accumulate through October. Team success matters substantially, as voters favour designated hitters on winning teams. The voting announcement typically occurs in early November 2026, creating a defined resolution window. Any significant injuries to leading candidates during the season, trades affecting designated hitter roles, or unexpected breakout performances could shift market expectations materially as the season progresses.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "MLB: Outstanding DH Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for baseball contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $195 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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