Resolution criteria on PolyGram: The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the Best Original Anime Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Apocalypse Hotel | 22% YES | 79% NO |
| DIGIMON BEATBREAK | 4% YES | 96% NO |
| Lazarus | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Moonrise | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| ZENSHU | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Show A | — | |
| Show B | — | |
The Crunchyroll Anime Awards will take place on 23 May 2026 in Japan, with the Best Original Anime category recognising series created specifically for the platform rather than adapted from existing manga or light novels. This award has grown in prominence as Crunchyroll has invested substantially in original productions, competing directly with Netflix and Amazon Prime Video for prestige within the anime industry. The current 20% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects significant uncertainty about which title will ultimately prevail, with the market pricing in multiple viable contenders across the platform's slate.
Historical precedent suggests original anime categories at major awards remain competitive and unpredictable. Previous Crunchyroll Awards have favoured productions with strong critical reception and substantial viewership metrics, though voting mechanisms involving fan participation and industry panels can produce outcomes that diverge from pre-event consensus. The Best Original Anime category specifically tends to reward narrative innovation and production quality, making it difficult to forecast without visibility into the full nominee list.
Traders should monitor Crunchyroll's official announcements regarding the 2026 nominees, expected in early 2026, and track critical reception of original titles released throughout 2025 and early 2026. Industry publications including Anime News Network and MyAnimeList will provide early signals about which productions are gaining momentum. The resolution mechanism specifies alphabetical ordering in case of ties or missing declarations by 30 June 2026, introducing a minor technical consideration for edge-case scenarios.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Anime Awards: Best Original Anime Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for awards contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $30 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 23 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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