Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season. Only assists recorded in Bundesliga matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., DFB Pokal, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Vladimir Coufal | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Franck Honorat | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Konrad Laimer | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player B | — | |
| Player D | — | |
| Player F | — | |
The 2025-26 Bundesliga season will determine which player records the most assists across all league matches from August 2025 through May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at 1% implied probability, reflecting substantial uncertainty about which individual will lead the league in playmaking over a full campaign. Settlement depends on official Bundesliga records and resolves alphabetically by surname if multiple players tie.
Historically, Bundesliga assist leaders have varied considerably by season, with creative midfielders and attacking fullbacks competing for the title. In recent years, players like Thomas Müller, Jamal Musiala, and Florian Wirtz have regularly finished among the league's top creators, though the specific leader shifts based on team tactics, injury patterns, and individual form. The 1% probability suggests the market is pricing in either a highly fragmented assist distribution across many players or uncertainty about which established playmaker will maintain consistency through the full season.
Key catalysts include summer transfer activity, managerial changes at top clubs, and early-season performance trends. Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, and Bayer Leverkusen typically produce the league's assist leaders, so squad composition at these clubs will matter significantly. Injuries to key creative players or tactical shifts mid-season could alter assist accumulation patterns. The Bundesliga's fixture schedule and winter break timing may also influence final tallies, as players missing extended periods through injury or suspension could fall behind despite strong underlying performance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga/stats/players/assists. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bundesliga: Most Assists" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for assist contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $49 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga/stats/players/assists. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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