This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will…
Market Outcomes
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 4% YES | 96% NO |