Market outcomes
| >$6B | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| >$2B | 32% YES | 69% NO |
| >$4B | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| >$3B | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| >$1B | 88% YES | 12% NO |
| >$1.5B | 61% YES | 40% NO |
| >$800M | 94% YES | 7% NO |
| >$600M | 98% YES | 2% NO |
Crypto markets on Polymarket typically settle against a specific index — the Coinbase spot price at a defined UTC moment is the most common. Binary markets pay $1 per YES share if the price closes above the threshold, $0 if not; scalar markets pay proportional to the final price. UMA's optimistic oracle handles any disputes. PolyGram adds a mobile-first interface, USDC deposits without a wallet, and portfolio analytics on top of the same underlying liquidity.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 July 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.