This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Market outcomes
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 80% YES | 20% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.