Question 1

How are conflict-outcome markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Each market specifies a named source — usually Reuters, AP or a UN document. Markets require unambiguous confirmation before settling.

Question 2

Can I trade climate targets?

Accepted Answer

Yes — Paris Agreement milestones, national net-zero deadlines and specific COP agreements have live markets.

Question 3

What about space missions?

Accepted Answer

SpaceX Starship flights, NASA Artemis milestones, and CNSA Tiangong missions all have per-launch markets.

Question 4

How do sanctions markets work?

Accepted Answer

Sanctions markets resolve based on official government gazette or regulatory agency publications. Each market specifies whether resolution depends on extension, modification, or lifting of a specific sanctions package by a stated review date.

Question 5

What's the typical resolution window for world-event markets?

Accepted Answer

Many geopolitical markets stay open for months or years. Traders hold positions with high conviction and reprice when major diplomatic events, summits, or official statements occur.

世界予測市場 2026

Top Markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through 2026?