This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is …
Market Outcomes
| United Kingdom | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Canada | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| India | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Pakistan | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| France | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Germany | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Netherlands | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Greece | 1% YES | 99% NO |