Question 1

How are election markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Every market specifies its resolution source in advance — typically the Associated Press call, the relevant election commission, or the official government gazette. Disputes are escalated to the UMA optimistic oracle before funds settle.

Question 2

Can I trade European elections?

Accepted Answer

Yes. PolyGram lists markets for UK general elections, German federal elections, French presidentials, Italian and Spanish national votes, plus EU commission appointments.

Question 3

Are prediction markets more accurate than polls?

Accepted Answer

Yes — academic research consistently shows prediction markets outperform polls. The Iowa Electronic Markets beat the final Gallup poll in 12 of 15 US presidential elections. Markets aggregate real-money conviction, not just stated intention.

Question 4

What's the biggest political market right now?

Accepted Answer

The 2028 US presidential race typically carries over $1B in cumulative volume. Check the live odds at the top of the market list.

Question 5

Can I trade legislation and policy outcomes?

Accepted Answer

Yes — PolyGram lists markets for specific bills, executive orders, Supreme Court rulings, cabinet appointments, and regulatory decisions across the US, EU, and UK.

Question 6

Is there a house edge on political markets?

Accepted Answer

No. PolyGram does not embed a margin in the published prices — the price you see is the order book's consensus probability, set by supply and demand. A traditional sportsbook charges a 5-10% vig on political wagers; PolyGram charges nothing equivalent. Every dollar that would have been the bookmaker's margin stays in the market for traders to compete over.

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