This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market outcomes
| Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Hernandez to win by KO/TKO? | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Garcia to win by KO/TKO? | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Fight won by submission? | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 79% YES | 21% NO |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 70% YES | 31% NO |
Each sports market names its resolution source in advance — typically the official league result feed, referee scorecard or governing body announcement. Odds on PolyGram reflect the Polymarket order book, not a bookmaker's margin, so the price is the crowd's probability rather than a 5-20% vig layered on top. You can enter or exit at any point, including during in-play windows for the biggest matches, and settlement in USDC lands on Polygon within minutes of resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ufc.com/events. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ufc.com/events. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 26 April 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.