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Clavicular

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

93% YES 7% NO

Opened · Settles · 553 comments

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular announces that he and a partner are expecting a baby through pregnancy between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. This market will resolve based on the date of announcement, regardless of when the child is born. The resolution source will be statements from Clavicular or his representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Liquidity
$345K
Total Volume
$6.6M
24h Volume
$5.1M
Open Interest
$2.1M
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Market outcomes

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? 93% YES7% NO

How entertainment markets work

Award shows, reality TV and streaming-hit markets resolve from the official broadcaster announcement or industry body (the Academy for the Oscars, the EBU for Eurovision, Nielsen for US ratings). Because these events have moderate liquidity but high public interest, odds can move sharply as finalists are announced or critics' picks go public. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket order book with a single-tap trading UX.

How this market resolves

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.

Frequently asked questions

What is the current probability for "Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?"?

As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 93%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.

When does this market settle?

The market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.

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