Market outcomes
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 55,000 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 35,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 150,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 95,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Crypto markets on Polymarket typically settle against a specific index — the Coinbase spot price at a defined UTC moment is the most common. Binary markets pay $1 per YES share if the price closes above the threshold, $0 if not; scalar markets pay proportional to the final price. UMA's optimistic oracle handles any disputes. PolyGram adds a mobile-first interface, USDC deposits without a wallet, and portfolio analytics on top of the same underlying liquidity.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.