Market outcomes
| ↑ 200,000 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| ↑ 180,000 | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| ↑ 160,000 | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| ↑ 140,000 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| ↑ 120,000 | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| ↑ 100,000 | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| ↓ 85,000 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Crypto markets on Polymarket typically settle against a specific index — the Coinbase spot price at a defined UTC moment is the most common. Binary markets pay $1 per YES share if the price closes above the threshold, $0 if not; scalar markets pay proportional to the final price. UMA's optimistic oracle handles any disputes. PolyGram adds a mobile-first interface, USDC deposits without a wallet, and portfolio analytics on top of the same underlying liquidity.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.