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Space

What will Trump say during astronaut meeting?

Opened · Settles · 3 comments

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Greeting with Artemis II Astronauts" on April 29, 2026, 2PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the greeting with the Artemis II astronauts scheduled for April 29, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Liquidity
$5K
Total Volume
$140K
24h Volume
$140K
Open Interest
$10K
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Market outcomes

Moon 5+ times 3% YES97% NO
Mars 2+ times 2% YES99% NO
Apollo 1% YES99% NO
Record 1% YES99% NO
Elon / Musk 1% YES99% NO
Any Question 100% YES0% NO
Fake News 100% YES0% NO
AI / Artificial Intelligence 100% YES0% NO

How prediction markets work

A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4hLYFGv9ktM. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4hLYFGv9ktM. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market settle?

The market is scheduled to close on 29 April 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.

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