This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and TDK in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against TDK. This market will resolve to "TDK" if TDK win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5) | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/starladder. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/starladder. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
The market is scheduled to close on 30 April 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.