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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Continued enrichment of uranium by Iran refers to US acceptance of the enrichment of, or the right to enrich, any …

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Market Outcomes

Oil Sanction Relief 11% YES89% NO
Enrichment of Uranium 6% YES94% NO
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz 4% YES96% NO
Unfreeze Iranian Assets 9% YES91% NO
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