Market outcomes
| September 30 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| June 30, 2026 | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| December 31 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| January 31, 2026 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| February 28, 2026 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| February 15, 2026 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| March 15, 2026 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| December 31, 2026 | 74% YES | 27% NO |
Crypto markets on Polymarket typically settle against a specific index — the Coinbase spot price at a defined UTC moment is the most common. Binary markets pay $1 per YES share if the price closes above the threshold, $0 if not; scalar markets pay proportional to the final price. UMA's optimistic oracle handles any disputes. PolyGram adds a mobile-first interface, USDC deposits without a wallet, and portfolio analytics on top of the same underlying liquidity.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.