Market outcomes
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 50,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↓ 35,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 150,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 100,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 95,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.