This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Space's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Space (https://x.com/intodotspace) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market outcomes
| $40M | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| $80M | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| $120M | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| $60M | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| $100M | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| $140M | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| $200M | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| $160M | 1% YES | 99% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
The market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.