This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of wit…
Market Outcomes
| December 31 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| April 30 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| June 30 | 4% YES | 96% NO |