Question 1

What is the current probability for "Bitcoin"?

Accepted Answer

As of 3 May 2026, the market probability on PolyGram is available on PolyGram. Trade on this outcome at polygram.ink.

Question 2

How can I trade on "Bitcoin"?

Accepted Answer

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake.

Question 3

What happens when the market resolves?

Accepted Answer

Winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon with a two-hour dispute window before payouts are distributed automatically.