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Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

Opened · Settles · 397 comments

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.

Liquidity
$1.4M
Total Volume
$25.9M
24h Volume
$415K
Open Interest
$591K
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Market outcomes

Vicky Dávila (IND) 0% YES100% NO
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) 0% YES100% NO
Claudia López (IND) 0% YES100% NO
David Luna Sánchez (IND) 0% YES100% NO
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND) 0% YES100% NO
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD) 0% YES100% NO
Gustavo Bolívar (HC) 0% YES100% NO
Sergio Fajardo (DC) 0% YES100% NO

How political prediction markets work

Polymarket settles political markets from authoritative sources — Associated Press race calls for US elections, the relevant electoral commission for national votes, and the UMA optimistic oracle for contested or ambiguous resolutions. Prices you see are probabilities derived from thousands of traders deploying real capital; they update in real time as new polls, debates, endorsements and news hit the tape. PolyGram surfaces the same order book with an email-first login and USDC settlement on Polygon.

How this market resolves

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.

When does this market settle?

The market is scheduled to close on 21 June 2026. Settlement typically clears within 24 hours after the resolving event, once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome.

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